Asia Cup 2025 Super 4 Teams: Qualification Scenarios Explained

High-stakes cricket action has begun in the Asia Cup 2025 cricket, and as the group stage goes on, fans are excitedly following the path to the Super 4 stage once the first matches are over. 

Every game matters in determining who advances in some of the greatest rivalries in international cricket, including India vs. Pakistan, Sri Lanka vs. Bangladesh, and Afghanistan's growing challenge.

The scenarios for qualifying for the Asia Cup 2025 Super 4, how teams might advance, and what fans will expect from the exciting Asia Cup 2025 matchups in the upcoming weeks.

How the Asia Cup 2025 Format Works

A two-group format will be used for the 2025 Asia Cup before the Super 4 stage:

• Group A: Oman, UAE, Pakistan, and India
• Group B: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Hong Kong, and Sri Lanka

The top two teams advance to the Super 4 stage from each group. The top two teams from the Super 4 will advance to the Final on September 28 after the four qualified teams compete in a round-robin style.
 

Current Group Stage Dynamics

Group A (India, Pakistan, UAE, Oman)

India

Current Standing: 01 (TM- 02, W- 02, L- 00, NRR- +4.793)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Oman on 19 September, Abu Dhabi

India Qualification Scenario: India almost qualified for the Super 4, after beating the UAE and Pakistan. 

Pakistan

Current Standing: 02 (TM- 02, W- 01, L- 01, NRR- +1.649)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: UAE on 17 September, Abu Dhabi

Pakistan Qualification Scenario: Pakistan won the first match against Oman and suffered a big loss against India. Pakistan has a chance to qualify for the Super 4 stage. 

Oman

Current Standing: 03 (TM- 01, W- 00, L- 01, NRR- -4.650)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: UAE on 15 September, Abu Dhabi, and  India on 19 September, Abu Dhabi

Oman Qualification Scenario: Oman needs to win both matches with a good run rate to qualify for the Super 4 stage. 

UAE

Current Standing: 04 (TM- 01, W- 00, L- 01, NRR- -10.483)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Oman on 15 September, Abu Dhabi, and  Pakistan on 17 September, Abu Dhabi

UAE Qualification Scenario: UAE has less chance to qualify for the Super 4 due to their loss against India with a big margin; their net run rate is poor among the 7 teams in the tournament. 

Group B (Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Hong Kong)

Afghanistan

Current Standing: 01 (TM- 01, W- 01, L- 00, NRR- +4.700)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Bangladesh on 16 September, Abu Dhabi, and Sri Lanka on 18 September, Abu Dhabi

Afghanistan Qualification Scenario: Afghanistan has a high chance of qualifying for the Super 4. If they win against Bangladesh.  

Sri Lanka

Current Standing: 02 (TM- 01, W- 01, L- 00, NRR- +2.595)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Hong Kong on 15 September, Abu Dhabi, and Afghanistan on 18 September, Abu Dhabi

Sri Lanka Qualification Scenario: Sri Lanka also has a high chance to qualify for the Super 4 race because they only need to beat either one or both matches. 

Bangladesh

Current Standing: 03 (TM- 02, W- 01, L- 01, NRR- -0.650)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Afghanistan on 16 September, Abu Dhabi 

Bangladesh Qualification Scenario: Bangladesh has less chance to qualify for the next stage, if they win the last match with a good margin. 

Hong Kong

Current Standing: 04 (TM- 02, W- 00, L- 02, NRR- -2.889)

Matches Remaining Group Stage: Sri Lanka on 15 September, Abu Dhabi

Hong Kong Qualification Scenario: Hong Kong was almost eliminated from the tournament by losing both matches. Need to win the last match on 15 September to end their tournament with a win. 
 

Who Could Make the Super 4?

• India: A superb pace-spin assault and a deep batting lineup.
• Pakistan: A formidable bowling assault and a batting lineup that is becoming better.
• Sri Lanka: They may benefit from spin-friendly conditions.
• Afghanistan: Their spinners can suffocate any opposition if their top order sparks.

India and Pakistan are still the favorites to win the Asia Cup in 2025, but Afghanistan and Sri Lanka have every chance to shock the odds.