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India needs 2 wins for WTC final: only 2 matches left

Published - 19-DEC-2024 5:30 IST | Updated - 19-DEC-2024 5:30 IST

G11-Fantasy Cricket Prediction for Today's Match

The third Test between India and Australia in Brisbane ended in a draw. After this result, the 5-match series between the two is tied at 1-1. Australia is at number 2 and India at number 3 in the World Test Championship (WTC) points table. South Africa is at number one.

India will have to win both the remaining matches to reach the final on its own. On the other hand, if Australia wins 3 out of 4 matches, it will finish in the top-2. At the same time, South Africa needs only one win in 2 Tests against Pakistan.

India at number three, needs 2 wins

Even after playing a draw in Brisbane, India's hopes of reaching the WTC final are alive. India has 114 points from 9 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws in 17 matches. The team was penalized 2 points, so currently their position is number-3 with 55.88% points. India now has only 2 matches left in the current series against Australia. If the team loses even one match, it will be out of the race for the final.

Know how Team India can reach the final with different results...

  • If India wins the series 3-1, 60.53% points: Team India will qualify.
  • If India wins the series 2-1, 57.02% points: Australia wins 1-0 in Sri Lanka or South Africa loses 0-1 to Pakistan.
  • If the series is drawn 2-2, 55.26% points: Australia loses 0-1 in Sri Lanka or South Africa loses 0-2 to Pakistan.
  • If the series is drawn 1-1, 53.51% points: South Africa loses 0-2 or Australia loses 0-1 in Sri Lanka or draws 0-0. If Sri Lanka wins 2-0, India will be out.

Australia needs 3 wins

Australia has won only one match in BGT so far, but the team has more chances to reach the final. Australia has 106 points from 9 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws in 15 matches. The team was also penalized 10 points, so they have 58.89% points. After India, Australia has to play 2 Tests in Sri Lanka. They need more than 60% points to qualify on their own.

Know what will be the points of Australia team with different results in 4 tests...

  • 4 wins: 67.54% points
  • 3 wins, 1 draw: 64.04% points
  • 3 wins, 1 loss: 62.28% points
  • 2 wins, 2 draws: 60.53% points, ahead of India
  • 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss: 58.77% points, ahead of India
  • 2 wins, 2 losses: 57.02% points
  • 1 win, 3 draws: 57.02% points
  • 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss: 55.26% points
  • In all other conditions, Australia will be out of the race.

One win will make South Africa job easier

South Africa seems to have the easiest task in the race for WTC final. South Africa has 76 points with 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in 10 matches. They have 63.33% points. The team has to win only one of the 2 tests against Pakistan, this will qualify the team with 61.11% points. If they win both the matches, the team will have the highest 69.44% points.

Know what effect the other results will have on the team's points...

  • Won 1-0: 63.89% points
  • Drew 0-0: 58.33% points
  • Lost 0-1: 55.55% points
  • Lost 0-2: 52.77% points

Sri Lanka needs support from other teams

Sri Lanka increased its problems by losing both the tests in South Africa. Now the team has only 60 points from 5 wins and 6 losses in 11 tests. The team is at the fifth position with 45.45% points, they have 2 matches left against Australia. By winning 2-0, the team will get 53.85% points and can reach the top-2. However, for that South Africa and India will have to lose most of their matches. If Sri Lanka draws even one match, the team will be out.

Pakistan can also reach the WTC final

Pakistan also has a small chance of playing the WTC final. The team currently has 40 points after 4 wins and 6 losses in 10 Tests. They were also given a penalty of 8 points, so the team is at number 7 with 31.25% points. The team has 4 matches left, 2 against South Africa and 2 against West Indies.

If Pakistan wins all four matches, then they will have 52.38% points. Here also they need that South Africa is given a penalty of 1 point, only then the team will be able to reach above them. However, if India and Australia win even 1-1 matches, then Pakistan's hopes will end.

4 teams out of the race 9 teams participate in WTC.

imbabwe, Ireland and Afghanistan do not play the World Test Championship series. West Indies, Bangladesh, England and New Zealand are out of the race for the final. Among these, West Indies is the only team that got out of the race even before its last series.

2024-12-19