Women’s ODI WC 2025: INDIA Qualification Scenario Explain

Three of the four semi-final spots in the ICC Women's ODI World Cup 2025 have already been guaranteed as the elimination stage draws closer. South Africa Women, England Women, and Australia Women have all confirmed their spots after strong group-phase performances. 

With only one space left, the competition has heated up for that final semi-final slot, and India Women, New Zealand Women are both high competitors for the last spot. 

This article describes the current points table dynamics, India's qualification scenario for the India Women ODI World Cup 2025, and what needs to happen for them to advance to the final four.

 

Current Standings: The Situation So Far

After South Africa, England, and Australia secured their positions, India, New Zealand, and Sri Lanka are vying for the fourth semi-final spot.

 

Women's ODI World Cup 2025 Points Table

*Update after SL v BAN 21st Match on 20 October

 

India's spirits and net run rate were boosted by their victories over Pakistan and Sri Lanka earlier in the match; still, they suffered defeats against Australia, South Africa, and England. The collapse of India during the mid-tournament period. However, with two league games remaining, every score and wicket might determine whether they go to the semi-finals.

 

India’s Qualification Scenarios Explained

Scenario 1: India Win Their  Last Two League Matches:

India will most likely qualify if they win their final two league-stage matches.

• With a victory, India would go up to eight points, outscoring both Sri Lanka and New Zealand, who can only have a maximum of six points each.
• Even if two teams are tied on points, they have an advantage thanks to their current positive Net Run Rate (NRR).
• In essence, a win guarantees India's spot in the semi-finals.

 

Scenario 2: India Lose To New Zealand

Things become complex at this point. If India loses:

• They would remain at 4 points, allowing New Zealand to pass them with 6 points.
• India lost to New Zealand by not-so-big margin
• New Zealand has to lose its last match 
• India needs to win the last league match with ga ood margin

 

Scenario 3: India loses their Last Match, But Won against NZ

• India won against New Zealand, then India moved to 6 points, 
• But losing against Bangladesh, India is still in 6 points. 
• New Zealand needs to lose its last match

 

Scenario 4: NRR Matters

• If Sri Lanka won their last matches, they would move to 6 points.
• If India only won one match of their two remaining matches, they would still be on 6 points.
• If New Zealand won one match of their two remaining matches, they're also still on 6 points

 

In this situation

• India already has a good NRR, but remember, if they lose, the margin will not be big
• New Zealand wins its match, with a winning margin not bigger than India's.
• Sri Lanka's win margin is not bigger than India's

 

Key Matches That Impact India’s Chances

 

 

India controls their destiny

India's place in the India Women's ODI World Cup 2025 now depends on a single, decisive performance, as South Africa, Australia, and England have already advanced to the semi-finals. They are eliminated if they lose the next match. When they lose it, they experience nervous times while observing the outcomes of other teams.

The situation is straightforward: India is in charge of its own fate. A victory keeps their hopes of winning the 2025 ODI World Cup alive and secures a place in the semi-finals. Every run and wicket in their upcoming game will determine whether the tricolor flies high in the knockout round; thus, all eyes are on them today.

 

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Women’s ODI WC 2025 21st Match: SL Won By 7 Runs, BAN Knock Out